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Nuevo libro: The Plans That Failed: An Economic History of the GDR
Noticia publicada el 12-04-11
Autor: André Steiner
New York: Berghahn Books, 2010.
ISBN: 978-1-84545-748-8.
(Translated from German by Ewald Osers)
Reviewed for EH.Net by Maria Polyakova, Department of Economics, M.I.T. Published by EH.Net (April 2011)
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In 1945, the Third Reich unconditionally surrendered to the Allied forces of
Great Britain, France, the United States and the Soviet Union. The Allies
occupied Germany in the same year, splitting the country and its capital into
four Zones of Occupation. The northeastern part of modern Germany became the
Soviet Occupation Zone governed by the Soviet Military Administration. In
1949, four years after the end of the War, the Socialist Unity Party of
Germany (SED) proclaimed the foundation of the German Democratic Republic
(GDR), also known as East Germany, in place of the Soviet Zone. The political
history of East Germany has had a number of academic and broad audience
publications devoted to it. Detailed analysis of its economic history, on the
other hand, has been surprisingly scarce in comparison.
André Steiner, Research Director for the Department of Economic and Social
History at the Center for Contemporary History Potsdam (ZZF) and professor of
economic and social history at the University of Potsdam, attempts to reduce
this gap. The study is meant primarily to provide an analytical summary of
the existing research on the topic (both by Steiner himself and other
scholars) and accomplishes its goal well. In about 200 pages of condensed
prose, Steiner presents a detailed, yet concise, overview of the key economic
decisions and policies -- and their consequences -- that characterized the
socialist German state from 1945 to 1990. In his account, Steiner relies on a
number of primary and secondary sources that include published collections of
documents, archival materials, and scholarly writings. Among these sources
are diverse protocols from the political discussions of the time,
contemporary legal and regulatory publications, as well as analytical books
and articles written in the midst of the historical developments.
Steiner’s main questions are “why things happened the way they happened
and, above all, what alternatives were available and why they were not
chosen” (p. 1) as well as “how was it possible ... that the system
survived for forty years” (p. 7). Steiner rightfully claims that, just by
observing the end result of the economic development in the GDR, we cannot be
confident that the system of the centrally planned economy, in and of itself,
was the key reason for the failure of East Germany. To get closer to the
heart of the matters, Steiner lays out the details of the economic
development of the GDR in six chapters. In each chapter, he considers both
the political economy of the policies and the daily experience of the GDR’s
population during different “political caesuras” (p. of the GDR’s
economic history. The hard work of organizing and explaining the often
chaotic and controversial economic events (as well as their academic
accounts) in East Germany, allows Steiner to conclude that, indeed, “the
crucial negative element was the planned-economy system” (p. 1). This
conclusion will hardly surprise the readers familiar with East German
history. The merit of the book, however, lies in its well-structured account
of the events and the relevant primary sources. These serve to convince
readers of the non-dogmatic objectivity of the book’s conclusion.
Steiner devotes the first two chapters of the book to the discussion of the
immediate post-war situation in the Soviet Zone and the first five years of
the GDR’s existence. Steiner shows that the area of the Soviet Occupation
was highly industrialized and produced a sizeable agricultural surplus. Its
industry, however, critically depended on the supplies of raw materials from
the Western territories -- a fact that would later cause much trouble for the
GDR’s government. Steiner provides evidence that the Zone’s wartime
destruction was lower than in its Western neighbor and should not have been
inhibitive for the economic reconstruction. The controversial attempts to
nationalize agriculture, restore the production of consumer goods, and, at
the same time, develop heavy industry, as instructed by the Soviet Union,
were, however, inhibitive.
The Soviet dismantling of plants and the reorganization of the industrial
structures had a severe effect on the capacities of the GDR’s industry. The
book further accounts for the complications that the GDR’s new political
leadership faced in trying to restart production and stabilize employment,
monetary exchange, and the supply of consumer goods and food. Harvest
failures and the collectivization reforms of agriculture resulted in severe
food shortages. Dismantling, reparations and incentive mismatch in the
manufacturing resulted in the escape of more than 4,000 producers to the
West, while the remaining ones struggled to provide desirable quantity and
quality. The difficult situation led to the strike of June 17, 1953 that was
forcefully resolved with Soviet tanks.
In the third chapter, Steiner discusses the economic situation during the
second decade after the end of the War. He characterizes this period as a
time that experienced rapid growth from the post-war production level. At the
same time, there were consumption shortages, severe underinvestment into the
production of consumer goods and big waves of emigration to the West. It was
also a period of further deep structural changes in all sectors of the
economy. Steiner emphasizes the dependency of the young German state upon the
Soviet command and its struggle of keeping up with its Western neighbor,
which by this time clearly offered a much more attractive environment for the
consumers and firms of the East. The chapter culminates with the request of
the East German government to the Soviet Union to allow for the construction
of the Berlin Wall to shut off emigration from the country.
Although the official justification for the construction of the Wall was
political, Steiner argues that the real reason (and the one that East German
policy-makers stressed in their internal discussions) was economic. In the
next two chapters, Steiner discusses how the forceful hold of the population
and firms within the country allowed the GDR’s government to pursue the
economic reforms it desired. The SED still advertised that the goal of the
GDR was to “overtake” the living standards of the Western neighbor, but
now it didn’t have to worry about the extensive emigration that was the
consequence of the obvious failures in the past. Over the course of these two
decades, the GDR’s government implemented an array of reforms that tied it
closer to the Eastern bloc and were supposed to convince its citizens of the
merits of the socialist system. Steiner argues that the reforms of the “New
Economic System” and the “Overtake without Catching Up” programs were
often undermined by structural inconsistencies that followed the attempt
“to simulate market mechanisms without, however, introducing the
foundations of a market economy” (p. 111). The standard of living and the
industrial output showed improvement in the sixties and seventies. Consumer
demand continued to be dictated by the government, however, rather than by
the consumers themselves. That is, there was no way for the economy to signal
its needs to the planners.
Lastly, Steiner discusses another big problem, namely the indebtedness of the
different parts of the system and its reliance on support from the Soviet
Union. The country was severely indebted to both the East and the West.
Within the country, companies relied heavily on subsidies from the state.
East German exports were not competitive and the economy was not
self-sustainable, relying to a considerable extent on the imports. The
political events of the following decades led to a termination of the credit
line from the West. At this point, as Steiner skillfully puts it “reality
caught up with the GDR: it was in an indebtedness trap” (p. 142). The last
decade before the fall of the Berlin Wall saw the country struggling with
debt, rising prices for raw material imports, the growing demands of the
population, shortages, declining investments and productivity and, finally,
renewed emigration to the West. The economic crisis and the dramatic changes
in the political circumstances in the Eastern bloc eventually led to the fall
of the Wall and the GDR in 1989.
As Steiner sums up, “the socialist economic system’s immanent incapacity
to produce structural and technological or innovatory change was the decisive
cause of the GDR’s economic weakness in its final decade” (p. 193)
The 2004 German edition of the book with the original title /Von Plan zu
Plan: Eine Wirtschaftsgeschichte der DDR/ became a popular read in Germany.
This is, of course, not surprising, given the low number of good systematic
accounts of economic life in East Germany and the slowly fading heritage of
the GDR’s economy and society in modern Germany. The audience for the
English translation of the book might be harder to define. While it is
unlikely to arouse a lot of interest among the non-German casual readers, it
is at the same time too general for specialized researchers of East
Germany’s economic history, who would probably prefer to use the German
edition anyway. On the other hand, it would provide an excellent introduction
for students and researchers who are just starting their work in the area of
East Germany’s history, or for the researchers of state-owned enterprises
and planned economies, who are interested in an overview of the historical
precedent. Furthermore, Steiner’s bibliography presents an impressive
scholarly reference to a large subset of primary and secondary sources that
are available on the topic.
Maria Polyakova is a graduate student at the Department of Economics of the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. One of her current research projects
concerns the organization of the German industry in the first decade after
World War II.
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